The EU's eastward expansion
• £5/$6.50. Cheque payable to P. Rousset, IIRE, Postbus 53290, 1007 Amsterdam, Netherlands.
BANKA E KURSIMI
SAVINGS BANK OF ALB
When the Berlin Wall fell, the peoples of Eastern Europe were told that privatisation and the market would bring them economic efficiency and freedom.
They were also told that as soon as they set up democratic regimes they could join the
"civilised, normal world." In other
"back to Europe."
words,
As if they weren't Europeans all along.
As if the only experience worthy of being peoples, whom they never dream of genuinely consulting - about joining the EU any more than about the economic "transition" - express many reservations and worries when they are polled. As in Western
"structural adjustments" already associated with the "transition" justified more and more often by the need to meet EU "norms". But since the EU exists, and there is no coherent alternative to it, it is the only pole of attraction for these countries, which are economic and ideological orphans. People associate the EU with the hope of economic development - or rather, they are afraid that _not_ joining the EU would mean
The "Visegrad group" (Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia) constitutes a free-trade zone between those countries that are "furthest along" in the transition. They distinguish themselves in particular from Bulgaria and Romania (both of which have just acquired new governments that threaten to speed up shock therapy). Expansion is planned
The Copenhagen European Council meeting in June 1993 decided in principle to admit all the Central and Eastern European countries and Baltic states to the EU. The Council meeting in Essen in December 1994 mandated the European Commission to produce a White Paper laying out the tasks that these countries must carry out in order to harmonise their laws and institutions with the Union's. There is no doubt that Central and Eastern Europe have put their shoulders to the wheel. Between now and the end of 1997 the Commission should prepare reports on the various problems blocking East European membership. France's Balladur government has added to these procedures a "Stability Pact", which is supposed to make these countries settle the differences among them by treaty (particularly differences over minority rights and borders) as a precondition for joining
In practice, Association Agreements have been the only moves to modify the EU's relationship with Central and Eastern Europe (except for the Phare programmes, which are supposed to help restructuring). The Association Agreements move towards establishing a free-trade zone with these countries, from which - judging by Central and Eastern Europe's growing trade deficits -the EU (and within the EU mainly Germany) reaps most of the benefits. We are entitled to ask, in spite of all the hypocritical speeches about openness, whether this is, in reality, the EU governments' preferred substitute to actually letting Eastern Europe in.
For some countries, including Britain, the broadest possible opening to the East would be a way to reduce the European Union itself to a free-trade zone. Other governments argue that the need for "cohesion" of the "hard core" justifies keeping the Mediterranean countries, let alone Central and Eastern Europe, outside the Economic and Monetary Union. But at what price?
Measurements of the costs of enlargement, based on the assumption that existing criteria for the Structural Funds (for aid to the Union's less developed regions) and for the Common Agricultural Policy would be applied to the Visegrad group, estimate that the Union's budget would have to double. If the whole of Central and Eastern Europe were let in, the budget would quadruple. Though this would still be only 0.4% of the existing EU's GDP, i.e. much less than the Marshall Plan after World War Two. In any case these "calculations" are more than conjectural. Depending on different hypotheses about dates, the number of countries involved, the unemployment rate, the growth rate, prices, etc., the results can vary by a ratio of 1 to 8.
Such calculations are used to support three kinds of proposals, each of which we
Option 1) Postpone the idea of integrating
Central and Eastern Europe into the EU until the region is less poor - and meanwhile impose adjustment policies that will make them poorer.
called "European"
was the West's. As if
Maastricht Europe was democratic and
"civilised". And as if Maastricht Europe was
INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH AND EDUCATION ready to open its borders in order to share the blessings of unification with the poorer, more
Women's lives in the new global economy agricultural Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC) and the Baltic states!
The collapse of Comecon and the USSR
Penny Duggan & Heather Dashner (editors)
• £4/$5/35FF. Cheque payable to P. Rousset, IIRE, Postbus 53290, 1007 Amsterdam, Netherlands.
accelerated a radical reorientation of CEEC trade towards the European Union, which
Germany was the first to profit from. This was the result of political choices made by
INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH AND EDUCATION
The Fragmentation of Yugoslavia: an overview the new ruling groups. Central and Eastern
Europe's rulers (however much the composition of its governments has shifted back and forth lately) have all portrayed joining the
EU as the only possible way forward. Their
30 International Viewpoint #290 by Catherine Samary