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Americas: Mexico: Opposition Splits in Response to PRI Budget

· International Viewpoint No. 296, January 1998 · pp 22-23 · 1,116 words

Latin America

Opposition splits in response to PRI budget

The first major legislative confrontation in ment) income, there are fewer social exthe Mexican Chamber of Deputies bet- penditures," a CTM statement said. In ween the new opposition majority that newspaper ads the pro-government

Adolfo Gilly, Helena Hirata, Carlos M. Vilas and the PRT (Argentina) [40 pages]

• £2/$3.50/20FF. Cheque payable to P. Rousset, IIRE, Postbus 53290, 1007 Amsterdam, Netherlands.

* Mexico groups, organised in the Metropolitan Convention, declare they will sponsor mobilisations if and when necessary.

The Cardenas administration faces two parallel dangers. A confrontation with the PRI and its corporatist structures among city workers, street vendors, etc., could provoke problems on different levels.

Veiled threats have already been issued, but given the ruling party's relative weakness and isolation in Mexico City, any concrete moves in this direction could easily backfire. The other potential danger flows from a permanent policy of negotiations with the powers-that-be. Given city hall's limited powers, this could constrict the mayor's actions to a very reduced spectrum of activities.

After being sworn in as mayor, Cardenas addressed tens of thousands of supporters in the central square in downtown Mexico City. He promised substantial changes in his three-year administration. In each of the city's 16 delegations, centres for attending to women's issues and others focusing on children's cultural activities and the problem of street chil dren will be put into operation.

Special programmes will be designed for the half million Indians living in the city, based on respect for their customs and traditions. The new mayor also called for the federal government to absorb part of the city's debt.

Cardenas' victory and his record in office have and will mark a change in the overall political situation. Either there will be a major step forward in the process of democratic reorganisation or social demoralisation will set in, with negative consequences for some time to come. *

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We also have lists in French, Spanish and emerged from the July 6 mid-term elections and the government and the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) ended in a major victory for the regime. Peter Gellert

The united (although fragile) opposition - the congressional caucuses of the left-of-centre Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), the conservative National Action Party (PAN), the Green Ecologist Party (PVEM) and the Workers Party (PT) - clashed with the PRI and government in the second week of December, concerning the 1998 budget and fiscal policies proposed by President Ernest Zedillo.

The main controversy involved the unpopular sales tax, increased to 15% following the December 1994 economic crisis. The opposition bloc used its majority to reduce the tax to 12%, rejecting Zedillo's fiscal policies and thereby potentially leaving the government without funds to operate.

The government and the PRI were outraged. They are not accustomed to having to negotiate with other parties if they want their bills passed by the Chamber of Deputies

The powers that be-PRI, government, business associations and the official labour movement as represented by the Mexican Workers Confederation (CTM)-reacted swiftly and strongly. PRI congressmen forcibly seized the Chamber of Deputies presidium following the vote. PRI national leader Mariano Palacios Alcocer charged that opposition with waging an "institutional war" ", seeking to paralyse government functioning by its irresponsible and inconsistent" attitudes.

Zedillo himself declared that if the sales tax was reduced, it would be impossible for the federal government to meet its commitments to the states and Mexico City, that current economic results and potential growth would be put in jeopardy, that public finances would deteriorate, inflation would increase and consumer purchasing power drop

Not surprisingly, the Confederation of Mexican Workers (CTM) and its affiliated unions while offering verbal criticisms of the effects of the crisis, vociferously backed Zedillo's proposals. "Lowering taxes... is not the best way to redistribute income, because with less (governlabour confederation voiced its opposition to "irresponsible adventures" such as lowering the sales tax, and proposed a series of alternative measures. Though PRI deputies belonging to the CTM made so such concrete proposals when it came time to vote.

The opposition stood firm, however. The bill to reduce the sales tax was approved and sent to the Senate, where it was defeated by the PRI majority, and returned to the Chamber of Deputies which again passed the proposal and returned it to the Senate, which finally put the initiative on ice. The sales tax remains at 15%

On December 11 and 13, following a meeting with Zedillo, the PAN (conservative) congressional and senatorial caucus voted with the PRI to approve the president's budget and fiscal policies. This was the first time the opposition bloc divided its votes.

The approved budget allows the president to increase the foreign debt by five billion dollars and the internal debt by eight billion dollars. It does not include opposition demands to raise the minimum wage, which issued as a standard for setting salary increases in most collective bargaining agreements. Nor did it eliminate the huge presidential slush fund (it was, however, reduced, as were budget outlays for bank rescue programmes) or do away with lucrative bonuses for public officials, as the opposition had demanded

The three parties voting against argued that the proposal gives the president absolute discretionary powers to up the country's debt. In full page advertisements in La Jornada, the left-of centre PRD explained that the budget places the cost of the economic crisis on the shoulders of the workers and on small and medium-sized businesses. PRD legislator Demetrio Sodi said that "the PAN sold itself for a plate of beans and backed the government's economic policy that it so often said it criticised."

In this important vote on the budget and fiscal policies, the government and PRI not only got their way, but may have succeeded in neutralising the challenge posed by an opposition majority in the Chamber of Deputies. The future of the opposition bloc is uncertain. * Source: Mexican Labor News and Analysis Vol. II, No. 23

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22 International Viewpoint #296

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Populism in Latin America

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